South Florida looks to bounce back after snapping their four-game win streak last Saturday
The Bulls are double-digit favorites against the Roadrunners in Thursday night’s AAC showdown
See our UTSA vs South Florida prediction, player props and parlay picks for this conference matchup
The 6-3 South Florida Bulls host the 4-4 UTSA Roadrunners at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Conditions look ideal for football, and kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Let’s dive into our UTSA vs South Florida prediction, player props and same-game parlay for this AAC showdown.
UTSA vs South Florida Prediction
Pick: South Florida -13.5 (-115)
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USF quarterback Byrum Brown has shown plenty of upside this season. Through eight games, he’s thrown for over 1,960 yards with 17 touchdowns to six interceptions.
While his completion rate sits at just 63%, he more than makes up for it with his mobility—he’s logged 120 rushing attempts for 596 yards and eight scores.
Byrum Brown would not be denied. One of the best runners in the country pic.twitter.com/jjGcluOEEA
— Billy M (@BillyM_91) October 25, 2025
In most situations with a dual-threat quarterback like Brown, I’d be more inclined to target his rushing yards rather than his passing. However, based on the expected game script and tempo, I think South Florida will look to keep him more controlled in the pocket instead of leaning on designed runs.
He shouldn’t need to get overly creative to produce against this vulnerable Roadrunners defense. This is a strong matchup for him—UTSA has struggled against the pass, ranking 120th in EPA per dropback and allowing 253.4 passing yards per game.
I expect Brown to take advantage and clear his passing prop of 260.5 yards.
The second prop I’m targeting is UTSA’s top receiver, Devin McCuin, over 49.5 receiving yards. McCuin is averaging 5.4 catches and 57.5 yards per game and has gone over 50 yards in six of eight contests.
As a double-digit underdog, UTSA will likely be forced into a pass-heavy script, which should keep McCuin heavily involved throughout. His quarterback, Owen McCown, is a capable passer and has clearly expressed favoritism toward McCuin.
That’s his go-to guy, and he should be looking to get him involved early and often throughout tonight’s affair.
UTSA vs South Florida Parlay
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| USF -13.5 | -115 |
| Byrum Brown 250+ Passing Yards | -144 |
| Devin McCuin 50+ Receiving Yards | -114 |
| Same-Game Parlay Odds | +433 |
In our same-game parlay for this UTSA vs South Florida AAC showdown, we’re pairing a couple of my top player props along with USF to cover by 14 or more points. This gives us +433 odds on FanDuel.
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