The Houston Rockets are 11-point underdogs vs the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday night
OKC will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back
See the Rockets vs Thunder predictions, player props, and odds on March 3
It’s a potential second-round playoff matchup Monday night when the Houston Rockets (37-23, 17-12 away) visit the West-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11, 25-4 home). The Thunder will be playing the second night of a back-to-back, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers from establishing OKC as a heavy home favorite in Monday’s NBA odds. Action tips off from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City at 8:10 pm ET. NBA TV will carry the broadcast.
Rockets vs Thunder Odds
| Bet Type | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11 (-110) | -11 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +410 | -550 |
| Total | O 226.5 (-110) | U 226.5 (-110) |
The Thunder are 11-point favorites against the spread and an extremely short -550 on the moneyline. The total comes it at 226.5, with -110 odds on either side of the number.
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKOffer
T&Cs
Bet $5, Get $250 If Your Bet Wins!
Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Offer not available in AR.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $250IF YOUR BET WINS!
BET NOW
Odds as of March 3 at FanDuel. Be sure to check out the best FanDuel promo code before placing a bet on any NBA game on Monday night.
Houston’s got a lengthy injury list, though currently Fred Van Vleet (ankle) is the only one confirmed out. Amen Thompson (shoulder), Dillon Brooks (knee), Alperen Sengun (back), Steven Adams (ankle) and Tari Eason (leg) are all listed as questionable against the Thunder.
OKC did not have the services of Isaiah Joe (back) and Chet Holmgren (ankle) for Sunday’s 146-132 win over the Spurs. Their status is not yet known for Monday.
HOU vs OKC Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) | 31.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | 4.5 (Ov -136 | Un +102) | 5.5 (Ov -146 | Un +110) | 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) |
| Jalen Williams (OKC) | 21.5 (Ov -108 | Un -122) | 4.5 (Ov -138 | Un +104) | 4.5 (Ov -144 | Un +108) | 1.5 (Ov -136 | Un +102) |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) | 11.5 (Ov -108 | Un -122) | 3.5 (Ov +104 | Un -138) | OFF |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 9.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) | 3.5 (Ov -104 | Un -128) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) | 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -106) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +162 | Un -220) |
NBA player props from FanDuel Sportsbook on March 3.
As of late Sunday night, the Rockets’ uncertainty of players had the books holding off of their player props. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the current favorite in the NBA MVP odds, leads all with the highest scoring total of 31.5 points.
Tough shot, @shaiglalex 🤯 pic.twitter.com/iq59LiZo0i
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) March 3, 2025
SGA’s streak of leading the team in scoring came to an end at nine games, only because Jalen Williams had a career night, dropping 41 points. Williams’ scoring prop is at 21.5 for Monday.
Gilgeous-Alexander also owns the highest assist prop at 5.5. Surprisingly, he’s only surpassed that total once in three games against the Rockets, though he has had at least eight dimes in six of his last eight, missing the other two by a single assist in each.
2026 NBA Playoff Odds Tracker
Read More
Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks
Rockets vs Thunder pick: Rockets +11 (-110)
Rockets vs Thunder prop bet: Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 assists (-146)
Rockets vs Thunder Predictions
Since blowing that 25-point lead to lose to Minnesota in overtime, the Thunder have ripped off three straight wins, and blowing the tops off the defenses they’ve faced.
OKC is averaging a whopping 136.7 points per game over the last three, shooting 52.7% from the field and 41.1% from downtown.
A season-high 146 points scored tonight 📈 pic.twitter.com/xvbXa8d5LG
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) March 3, 2025
That scoring has overshadowed their lack of defense, as they have been allowing 124 points on this streak — a figure that would rank dead last in the NBA.
We’re going to see how they stack up to the Rockets, who just ended their short 3-game homestand with a 113-103 loss to the Sacramento Kings.
Houston brings a Top-4 defensive rating to the table, and currently rank fifth in scoring, allowing a light 108.8 points per game. Their field goal and 3-point defensive splits rank inside the Top 6.
This will be the fourth of five meetings this season, with the Thunder taking two of the first three head-to-head matchups.
Hustle Man gets paid 👏@TAR13ASON pic.twitter.com/7dzHL4IeiA
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) March 2, 2025
Both Thunder wins have been blowout victories, each greater than the 11-point spread given for Monday. Houston’s win is sandwiched in between, the closest of the three, a 119-116 Rockets W.
There are a ton of things that OKC does well, but they’re an absolutely average cover team on the second night of a back-to-back, going 6-6-0 against the spread.
Houston, meanwhile, is second only to Cleveland as an away underdog, going 8-4-1 ATS. They’re also 8-5-0 ATS playing with a rest advantage.
The last defense that OKC played that was as good as Houston’s was Minnesota. The Thunder should still roll — they are a West-leading 25-4 at home — but I like the Rockets and that bushel of points.
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1500 TO GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK
CLAIM OFFER
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $10 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
CLAIM OFFER
THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE DIME TO GET 100% BET RESET UP TO $1,000
CLAIM OFFER
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS!
CLAIM OFFER
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $250 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS!
CLAIM OFFER
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBDDYW & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 WAGERS!
CLAIM OFFER
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKGET 100% BET MATCH UP TO $100 FOR 10 DAYS
CLAIM OFFER
DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings Sportsbook customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bet must settle by and Token expires 5/3/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 4/26/26 at 11:59 PM ET.
BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.
BETMGM T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.