The New York Knicks battle the Miami Heat in Sunday NBA action
The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games
Find my Knicks vs Heat prediction, player prop picks, and odds, below
The New York Knicks go to war with the Miami Heat in Sunday’s NBA action. With the Knicks aiming to secure the third-seed and Miami fighting for their own playoff spot, this classic Eastern Conference matchup is sure to provide fireworks in the middle of the Association’s Sunday slate. All of the Knicks vs Heat hardwood action gets underway at 6:00 pm ET from the Kaseya Center. It’s time to profit; take a look at my Knicks vs Heat prediction, along with player props and all the odds, below.
Knicks vs Heat Prediction
Predictably, Miami has struggled without the services of Jimmy Butler. The Heat are just 7-8 SU in their last 15 games, with a -2.6 net rating. On top of that, Miami’s 111.5 offensive rating ranks 22nd in the NBA across that stretch. Unfortunately, both the recently acquired Andrew Wiggins, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. are unlikely to suit up against New York.
On the flip side, over the last seven games, the Knicks rank 8th in offensive rating and 10th in net rating in the NBA. The Knicks are likely to be without backup center Ariel Hukporti in this one, and could lean further on returning big man Mitchell Robinson to help dominate the paint tonight.
Mitchell Robinson takes the floor for the first time in 10 months and immediately makes an impact pic.twitter.com/LrwAPRHt80
— New York Basketball (@NBA_NewYork) March 1, 2025
While the Knicks have been one of the Eastern Conference’s best teams this season, they’ve been inconsistent of late. Additionally, Miami are 5-1 SU in their last six games at home against New York. Expect the Heat to hang around late and take the points.
Pick: Miami Heat +6.5 (-110)
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Knicks vs Heat Player Prop Picks
| Player Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyler Herro Over 6.5 Assists | +116 |
| Bam Adebayo Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists | -120 |
| Davion Mitchell 10+ Points | +110 |
Heat dynamo Tyler Herro has exceeded 6.5 assists in four of his last five games at home. The NBA Sixth Man of the Year winner has averaged 8.4 assists a night in those contests, and will look to build on his current playmaking form against the Knicks. Herro has surpassed this line in six of his last 10 games overall, averaging 7 a night in that timeline. Crucially, the sixth-year guard has averaged 11.5 potential assists per game across his last 10 contests. Bet on Herro to continue dishing the rock and go over 6.5 assists once again tonight.
Tyler Herro's time is NOW ⌚️
📊 30 PTS I 7 REB I 7 AST
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Bam Adebayo’s impact on the Miami Heat is undeniable. The University of Kentucky product is the glue that keeps this Heat squad together. However, Adebayo has failed to surpass today’s 34.5 points, rebound, and assist player prop in eight of his last 10 games versus top-10 defenses for rebounds allowed. In that stretch, Bam has averaged just 28.7 points, rebounds, and assists. In fact, Adebayo has averaged 6.2 potential assists and 16.6 rebounding chances, while shooting only 54% from the floor in his last 10 contests. Fade Bam against the towering Knicks defense, and stalwart rebounder Karl Anthony-Towns.
Starting Heat guard Davion Mitchell has averaged 10 points, while nailing 50% of threes over his past 10 games. He’s been given the green light by head coach Erik Spoelstra, hoisting seven shots per game, and shooting a phenomenal 53.6% from the field in his time with the Heat. Plus, Mitchell has played well over 30 minutes a night in his time in Miami. The former Kings and Raptors guard scored 20 points last week against Atlanta and followed that up with 10 against Indiana. Expect Mitchell’s hot shooting to continue at home against the Knicks.
Knicks vs Heat Odds
| Bet Type | New York Knicks | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +220 |
| Total | O 220.5 (-108) | U 220.5 (-112) |
The Knicks head to Miami as 6.5-point favorites against the flailing Heat, who enter as intriguing +220 moneyline underdogs in the latest NBA odds. Odds as of March 2nd, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your NBA betting action.