Joe Biden is back atop the board in the odds to win the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination
Biden’s odds improved to +275
Elizabeth Warren, who was the frontrunner, has dropped to third in the race at odds of +350
Joe Biden is once again the man to beat in the race for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination.
Elizabeth Warren has dropped to third in the latest Democratic Nomination odds tracker. She’d overtaken Biden as the frontrunner in late August, but now trails both the former VEEP and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
One sportsbook lists Biden as a +275 favorite in the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination future book.
2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Joe Biden | +275 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +325 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +350 |
| Bernie Sanders | +550 |
| Michael Bloomberg | +900 |
| Hillary Clinton | +1400 |
| Andrew Yang | +1500 |
| Amy Klobuchar | +3500 |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +4000 |
| Kamala Harris | +5000 |
| Michelle Obama | +6000 |
| Tom Steyer | +10000 |
| Cory Booker | +10000 |
| Oprah Winfrey | +10000 |
| Julian Castro | +12500 |
Odds taken Nov. 27.
Buttigieg is close behind Biden at +325, while Warren slid to +350.
Biden On The Rebound
For a time this summer and into the fall, it looked like Biden’s Presidential aspirations were fading dramatically. Following unimpressive performances in the Democratic debates, Biden’s odds began to slide.
In mid-August, Biden was the +280 chalk to win the nomination, on average, across the leading online sportsbooks. But he surrendered top spot to Warren on Aug. 29. By mid-October, Biden’s odds had climbed to +440.
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The Only Bad Publicity Is No Publicity?
It was right around that time in late August when the whistleblower complaint leading to US President Donald Trump’s impeachment hearings was first coming to light. Evidence revealed that Trump was withholding military aid from Ukraine.
Allegedly, he was doing so in order to get that country to investigate how Biden’s son Hunter came to serve on the board of the Ukrainian energy company Burisma. The hope was they’d unearth some dirt that Trump could use against Biden’s father in the 2020 Presidential election.
But in his obsession to find something that is evidently not there, has Trump given Biden added publicity. Has that led to a bump in the polls for Biden?
Biden is of the belief that Trump is so obsessed with him because Trump is fearful that the former Vice-President is the Democrat with the best chance to defeat him in the 2020 Presidential election.
It’s A Four Horse Race
While the Democratic Presidential race still counts enough hopefuls to fill up a bus, the reality in the numbers is that there are only four candidates with a realistic hope of gaining the nomination. Those four would be Biden, Warren, Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders.
The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Biden pulling in 24 percent of the support. He’s followed by Buttigieg (16) Sanders (14), and Warren (13). Only Biden and Buttigieg display increasing support over the past month.
No other candidate is polling at better than six percent.
As Primary season draws nearer, Biden is ahead in polls in Nevada and South Carolina. Buttigieg leads in Iowa and Sanders is out front in New Hampshire.
The odds also lean toward this four-person race theory. Just consider that 2016 Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is drawing +1400 odds. That’s better than any candidate but the top four, and she’s not running. Former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg just entered the race. He’s already the fifth betting choice at +900.
Biden Offers A Comfort Zone
Biden served as Barack Obama’s Vice-President. His presence offers a reminder of what America was like before the daily sideshow than has emanated from the Oval Office since Trump’s arrival.
He offers the comfort and feel of a warm sofa. But as his bumpy ride so far shows, that alone won’t be enough to gain him the nomination.