The Las Vegas Aces are 10.5-point favorites over the Golden State Valkyries in WNBA Commissioner’s Cup action on Saturday
Las Vegas ranks bottom-three in opponent field goal percentage and assists
Keep reading for the Aces vs Valkyries odds, picks and props, plus how to watch
The WNBA Commissioner’s Cup schedule rolls on Saturday as the Las Vegas Aces (4-2) visit the Golden State Valkyries (2-5). Las Vegas, the winners of last year’s Cup, prevailed in their first contest of 2025, while Golden State is still looking for its inaugural win in this format after a pair of defeats. Online sportsbooks don’t expect that elusive first win for the Valkyries anytime soon, pegging the Aces as massive chalk ahead of this matchup.
How to Watch Aces vs Valkyries
Tip-off is scheduled for Noon PT, 3 pm ET at the Chase Center, in San Francisco, CA, with ABC and ESPN+ providing the coverage. Golden State is 1-2 in three home games so far, while Las Vegas is 2-2 on the road.
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Odds
| Bet Type | Aces | Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -590 | +410 |
| Spread | -10.5 (-110) | +10.5 (-110) |
| Total | O 160.5 (-108) | U 160.5 (-112) |
The Aces are currently favored by 10.5 points and are -590 on the moneyline. The Valkyries come back as +410 underdogs, while the total sits at 160.5.
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Aces vs Valkyries Picks
Over 160.5 (-108) at DraftKings
I’m staying away from the spread and moneylines in this matchup, and focusing on the total instead. The 160.5 point over/under seems a bit low, as the Aces bring a strong offense into play, while both teams struggle defensively.
Las Vegas boasts the league’s sixth best offensive rating, led by A’ja Wilson. The 2018 number one pick is top-3 in the WNBA in scoring and second in rebounding. She’s only one game removed from a 35-point effort, and is a career 50% shooter. The Aces aren’t incredibly reliable from the field, but they make up for their lack of efficiency with plenty of volume.
Only two teams produce more shot attempts per game than Las Vegas. They average the third fewest turnovers and aren’t afraid to chuck it from long range. The Aces average 28 three-point attempts per game, shooting 36% from three.
Those metrics, along with below average defense can help them do their part to make this game high-scoring. Las Vegas allows the second highest field goal percentage in the league, and the third most assists.
LV vs GS Advanced Stats
| +3.5 | NETRTG | -10.6 |
| 102.5 | OFFRTG | 91.7 |
| 99.0 | DEFRTG | 102.3 |
On the other side, the expansion Valkyries may have the longest WNBA Championship odds, but they play an entertaining brand of basketball. Golden State is top-five in pace, while no team attempts more threes. They’re loaded with young talent like Veronica Burton, Juste Jocyte, Carla Leite and Janelle Salaun, with the ladder leading the team in scoring.
Defensively, few teams are worse, raising the ceiling of the Aces offense. Golden State allows opponents to make 43% of their looks and 39% of their threes, while surrendering 83 points per game.
Aces vs Valkyries Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young (LV) | 18+ (+110) | OFF | OFF | 2+ (-135) |
| Jewell Loyd (LV) | 12+ (-120) | OFF | OFF | 2+ (-140) |
| Kayla Thornton (GS) | 12+ (-120) | 5.5 (O +100 | U -130) | OFF | 2+ (-120) |
| Veronica Burton (GS) | 12+ (+110) | OFF | 3.5 (O -145 | U +114) | 2+ (+145) |
| Janelle Salaun (GS) | 12+ (-125) | 6.5 (O +120 | U -154) | OFF | 3+ (+155) |
| Chelsea Gray (LV) | 12+ (+100) | OFF | 4.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 2+ (+110) |
| A’ja Wilson (LV) | 25+ (+110) | 11.5 (O -125 | U -105) | OFF | OFF |
WNBA props from DraftKings and FanDuel on June 6. Download the top NBA betting apps before betting on the NBA Finals.
Jewell Young 2+ Threes (-140 at DraftKings)
No Aces player is more equipped to take advantage of weak three-point defense than Jewell Young. The 31-year-old is shooting 41.7% from beyond the arc this season, and her 6+ attempts per game is one of the highest marks of her 11-year career.
Young has splashed at least two triples in four of her past five games, and made 6 threes in a blowout victory over Connecticut earlier this season. With the bulk of Golden State’s defensive game plan centered on slowing down Wilson, I expect plenty of open looks for Loyd from downtown.
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